The 7.7-magnitude earthquake that struck central Myanmar on March 28, 2025, could potentially result in a death toll as high as 100,000, with economic damage ranging from $10 billion to $100 billion, according to a preliminary assessment by the US Geological Survey (USGS). The earthquake, which hit approximately 16 km northwest of Sagaing City, caused severe damage, particularly in Mandalay, Kyaukse, and Taungoo, where strong tremors were felt.
The USGS estimates that there is a 35% chance of between 10,000 and 100,000 deaths, with a 36% likelihood that the toll will exceed 100,000. The report highlighted the vulnerability of local buildings, many of which were not built to withstand seismic events, leaving residents at greater risk of injury and death. Myanmar's infrastructure, particularly in densely populated areas, has been critically impacted, exacerbating the destruction.
The economic impact could be equally devastating, with the USGS predicting that the earthquake may cause losses equivalent to one-third of Myanmar’s GDP. Emergency aid and international support are urgently needed to mitigate the effects on the country's economy and citizens.
Myanmar’s leader, General Min Aung Hlaing, confirmed that at least 144 people have died, with over 730 injured as of March 28. The toll is expected to rise as search and rescue efforts continue. Additionally, he expressed that Myanmar is prepared to receive international assistance, with routes opened for foreign aid to reach the country.
The earthquake has also impacted neighboring Thailand, where at least 10 people have died in Bangkok, and over 100 people remain trapped under the rubble of a collapsed construction site.
Myanmar is no stranger to earthquakes, with the Sagaing fault line being known for its seismic activity. Experts suggest that the country’s rapid urban development, poor infrastructure, and lack of preparedness for natural disasters have significantly heightened the vulnerability of its most populous areas.
Source: Bao Hai Duong
Bd-pratidin English/ Jisan
