UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer could be forced to step down by May 2026 if the Labour Party continues to perform poorly in the polls and upcoming regional elections, according to a report by Sky News.
The warning comes after Labour lost significant ground to Reform UK in the May local elections, amid declining public support. Two senior Labour MPs told Sky News that Starmer’s position is under increasing scrutiny, especially ahead of key votes in Wales, Scotland, and London.
“I am hearing from ministers in government that Starmer might have to go in months,” said Sam Coates, Sky News’ deputy political editor, citing growing “unhappiness and despair” within the ruling party.
Starmer's leadership was further undermined this week after the passage of a controversial welfare reform bill, which was diluted following a revolt by Labour MPs opposed to benefit cuts. The rebellion highlights ongoing fractures within the party.
Just weeks earlier, Starmer reversed course and announced a national inquiry into the police handling of the Pakistani grooming gangs scandal, after previously defending the results of a seven-year investigation. The move followed intense public pressure and renewed attention to the issue sparked by comments from Elon Musk.
The string of policy U-turns has raised questions about Starmer’s decision-making and authority, both among the public and within his own ranks.
According to a June Ipsos poll cited by The Independent, 73% of UK adults are dissatisfied with Starmer’s performance — the lowest rating ever recorded by Ipsos for a first-year British prime minister. Fewer than 20% expressed satisfaction with his tenure.
As Labour braces for further electoral challenges, Starmer’s future as prime minister remains uncertain. A poor showing in the upcoming votes could trigger a leadership contest and end his premiership before the next general election.
Bd-pratidin English/ Jisan